In 2023-2024, the Marron Institute of Urban Management at New York University (NYU), with funding from Open Philanthropy, undertook an evaluation of its technical assistance provided to Ethiopian cities during 2013-2015. Urban Observatory was also part of base data creation on geo-spatial aspects for urban expansion planning. This initiative, conducted with the Ethiopian Ministry of Urban and Infrastructure, aimed to build capacity in urban planning and development for local authorities in 18 cities, focusing on preparing for projected population growth, planning urban expansion areas, establishing arterial road networks, and protecting environmentally sensitive lands. The evaluation assessed the effectiveness of these urban strategies and their socio-economic and health impacts on local communities nearly a decade later.
The Urban Observatory played a key role by conducting detailed geospatial analysis across all 18 cities, mapping urban expansion from 1990-2022, and creating an inventory of road networks and land use classifications within expansion areas. Analysts differentiated formal and informal land use and tracked changes in road infrastructure, focusing on width, surface condition, and connectivity. In 8 cities, “impact” and “control” areas were selected based on proximity to new arterial roads using satellite imagery, historical maps, and Halton point coordinates. Surveys were conducted to assess improvements in infrastructure and socio-economic conditions among residents.
This comprehensive geospatial approach, integrating satellite data with local land use plans, provided insights into the long-term impact of NYU's technical support on Ethiopia's urban expansion planning. The evaluation results offer critical evidence for policymakers on the sustained benefits of strategic urban planning and capacity-building initiatives, highlighting effective practices in urban growth management for sustainable, inclusive development.